dutchy101 Well they didn’t say who would benefit from those imagined savings!
I had a quick look at that paper and was reminded that trying to predict 30 years into the future is a fools errand - won’t stop me though! :-)
For there to be any saving at all, of course, there would need to be a change away from the current system where the price of all electricity is set by the market and that is almost always at the fossil cost - which is generally highest. Until all cleaner electricity including nuclear and renewables can be traded separately from fossil, there can be no savings.
Currently there is not much appetite for changing how the energy markets operate. But that will inevitably change at some point, probably around the time that storage for the ‘always on’ cleaner sources becomes more viable. That’s already starting to happen gradually but we won’t likely see big changes in the next decade.
As you allude to - we are at the mercy of those with vested interests in the status quo. Without a big shake-up which I’m not optimistic about, those existing vested interests will have diversified into renewables by the time they are the dominant generators in the market.
