Pompeyexile can afford, trying to get the best value for my money knowing that if for example I go for a combi boiler, I will hopefully get a good ten years out of it before it needs replacing. It costs me what it costs. I never think about payback, so why would I think about that if installing solar or an air source heat pump? If that is the type of heating I go for and it costs 5, 8 or 15 grand it is what it is, and as long as it does its job and lasts long enough then great. The only return I expect is for it to work for a number of years
The issue is specific and slightly different for all situations, plus much of the information on the Internet is misleading or way out of date, and the conclusions based on out of date information.
- The various incentives have changed
- FIT tariffs have changed and amounts can be very small, so it’s more important to use what you produce
- Prices have not come down rather the reverse..the headline prices you see are never what you get quoted
- Inverters don’t last as long as you think and are not factored into TCO
- Panels degrade (life expectancy is around 30 years
- Panels have to be cleaned or efficiency drops
- The amount of power is often overestimated
- You don’t get much power at all in winter
So when I asked for a quote for 3 kW or so on my Garage, perhaps 4 if I could get really high quality panels and a battery, it came to 23K….a ludicrous price. However lets take this system…apparently only from £13454..now we know it’s going to end up more, but lets pretend that it doesn’t rise.
https://worldofsolar.com/package-1/
I use about 8kW per day, sometimes 7…that costs me at the moment 34.5p per kW inc VAT, prices may not go up and I think long term they might well drop as I am not sure this is sustainable. Electric costs me around £82 per month. I won’t save on standing charge or anything like that.
Lets pretend my house roof faces the perfect direction and I get 80% (4.8kw) of generation for 6 hours a day)…that’s 28Kw per day on perfect days and lets say we get 75% of those for the summer May to Aug…5 months. April and Sep, perhaps we get an average of 6kW per day, and the other 6 months not that much, lets call it 1kW per day every day. The feed in tariff is usually around 5p but I have seen higher prices quoted by sites that sell solar power…..so lets go with a 10p payment for every unit you export…unlikely, but lets do it.
- Summer months no electric costs and £1.50 per day (deducted electric standing charge) for the excess energy. for 4 months I made +£180
- Spring and late autumn months my electric costs were only about £2.2 per day inc standing charge I’m -£122
- Winter I’m paying around £3.50 per day inc standing charge so - £630
Realistic Caveats: The inverter will provide around 5kW draw max and then start using grind power above that, inverter lifespan is around 10-15 years and panel lifespan around 20…we will pretend no degradation, no charging losses and 100% efficiency. I’m also going to assume an inverter replacement halfway through the 20 year period at £2800 and that batteries last 20 years maintaining 100% efficiency (which they won’t). No faults with the system for 20 years are assumed. Panels cleaning costs are not included
- My electric Bill without solar (6 months at 10kW and 6 months at 8kW per day = £711 for the other 6 summer months £586 all inc standing charge Total £1297 per annum
With solar
- My electric Bill 4 months +£180 spring autumns £-122 ..that’s +£60 for the period.
- The winter 6 months -£630
- Inverter amortised replacement cost of once within 20 years -£140
- Total cost 570+140 = £710 per annum, my saving being £587 per year.
So a 6kW system with 5kW battery costing £13.5K if you can actually get one for that (which I doubt), over a 20 year assumed life will save you £11750. However you spent £13.5K, so you will be £1760 down on the deal. At this time your inverter, batteries and panels will need replacement.
I have taken the most favourable view and it simply doesn’t cost in at even current electricity prices!